This weekend sees twenty seven year old Guzman 18(6)-9(0)-0 defend her title against thirty year old Chavez 30(40)-4(0)-3.
If this was at flyweight I would have Chavez as favorite to win. In her last bout she won the WBC Diamond title at flyweight and maintained a winning streak stretching back to 2015. With this step up in weight comes a step up in how hard she will be hit. Can she handle the increase in power? Well this step up is in line with her progression up the weights making her debut at light flyweight before winning a world title at this weight at her third attempt, winning the IBF world title against Irma Sanchez.
Having moved up the weight class to flyweight she has remained undefeated taking with her the WBC World and Diamond titles. History is on her side showing she can move up in weight class and excel.
Guzman on the other hand Guzman has jumped between flyweight, light and super, in her early career and not really finding a division she is comfortable in. In her early career she was very inconsistent suffering defeats in four world title fights. Eventually she settled in the Super flyweight division in 2014, perhaps spurred on by her victory over Judith Rodriguez for the WBC silver Super fly weight title shortly after moving up. Guzman took the full WBC title in 2017 where she has defended it since.
To sum things up I think Chavez is far too technical for Guzman, who I believe is too inconsistent. One thing I will say in Guzman’s favor is, that she is a lot more comfortable at the weight than Chavez will be. Having been at the weight for a few years she will know her limits, while Chavez has yet to discover these. Chavez will take this step up in her stride and win by unanimous decision.
Also this weekend Kasumi Saeki 3(2)-0-0 takes on Elizabeth Lopez 6(1)-1(1)-4 for the vacant WBO World female minimum weight title in the EDION arena Osaka, Japan. With both fighters not really having much professional experience behind them it will be a hard call to make in picking a winner. I will fancy Saeki to pick up the win with being on home turf she will have an advantage both in terms of support and her opponent suffering jet lag.